基于混合变换器-贝叶斯框架的微睡眠心血管风险预测模型

📄 中文摘要

心血管疾病(CVD)是全球主要的死亡原因,早期发现无症状风险因素对于预防干预至关重要。传统的风险评分(如Framingham和ASCVD)使用静态风险因素,无法捕捉由生活方式和睡眠模式驱动的动态生理变化。近年来,智能手机、可穿戴设备和环境传感器捕获的生活记录数据提供了细粒度的、时间分辨的行为信号。然而,现有的基于生活记录的模型要么忽视了模态间的依赖关系,要么将不确定性视为确定性,从而导致过于自信的预测。此外,特征选择通常是固定的,忽视了用户的适应性。该研究提出了一种混合变换器-贝叶斯框架,以更好地利用生活记录数据进行心血管风险预测。通过考虑动态特征和用户适应性,该框架能够提高预测的准确性和可靠性。

📄 English Summary

**Hybrid Transformer‑Bayesian Framework for Micro‑Sleep‑Based Cardiovascular Risk Prediction from Lifelog Data**

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death globally, making early detection of asymptomatic risk factors crucial for preventive interventions. Conventional risk scores, such as Framingham and ASCVD, rely on static risk factors and fail to capture dynamic physiological changes influenced by lifestyle and sleep patterns. Recently, lifelog data collected from smartphones, wearables, and ambient sensors have provided granular, temporally resolved behavioral signals. However, existing lifelog-based models either ignore inter-modal dependencies or treat uncertainty deterministically, leading to overconfident predictions. Additionally, feature selection is often fixed, neglecting user adaptation. This research proposes a hybrid Transformer-Bayesian framework that leverages lifelog data for cardiovascular risk prediction, enhancing accuracy and reliability by accounting for dynamic features and user adaptability.

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数据源: OpenAI, Google AI, DeepMind, AWS ML Blog, HuggingFace 等